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@  karabo : (20 June 2019 - 08:18 AM) any good coders here to help ,having a good manual strategy ,hilding good results for the longest time ,need it to give alerts and not get all glued to screen.I have screen shots to prove results
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@  traderpusa : (16 June 2019 - 09:57 PM) daughter starts school tomorrow, son only in August (college)
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65%+itm indicator strat on the long term

itm indicator strategy

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6 replies to this topic

#1 chris7478

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Posted 23 May 2017 - 08:15 AM

Guys, lets be honest, is there any indicator strategy that makes more than 65% on the long term?

 

( I ve been searching for such a strategy for soo long but nothing found that is sustainable. )

 

If yes, can you please post it.

 

Thanks



#2 shaileshm

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Posted 23 May 2017 - 08:46 AM

maybe such a indicator exists, but whoever has it is sure not on BOE but rather on some beach enjoying his life.


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#3 siraj

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Posted 23 May 2017 - 10:13 AM

Guys, lets be honest, is there any indicator strategy that makes more than 65% on the long term?

 

( I ve been searching for such a strategy for soo long but nothing found that is sustainable. )

 

If yes, can you please post it.

 

Thanks

Can u tell me what is your definition of Long Term? How many days or months or years ?



#4 chris7478

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Posted 23 May 2017 - 10:25 AM

I would say a year.



#5 Svalbard

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Posted 23 May 2017 - 10:43 AM

Yes there are, I've witnessed some madly sophisticated next candle robots on higher TFs that hit way higher than 65% and can confidently tell you that they will never be released to the public or sold.

But then again why believe me? I could be lying, I am only a poster on some forum.

#6 mido1711

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Posted 28 May 2017 - 01:34 PM

The answer to that question is both yes and no.

 

There is no indicator that will have a static winrate for the long term indefinately. Verily, each indicator parameters thrive on particular market evnrionments.

 

For instance, one set of parameters can thrive with a 70% win rate in trending markets but when the markets stagnates and consolidates to a ranging motion, the 

 

win rate dips to 55%. Conversley, once indicator parameters can have a 70% win rate in ranging markets, but when the market trends, it will dip to 55%.

 

So which params would you choose? Well, thats not that easy to answer! Because if you knew if the markets are trending/ranging to predict the optimum parameters

 

for the indicator you wouldnt need the indicator in the first place right?

 

 

 

So in summary, you need to focus on the average win % of an indicator for over literally thousands of trades backtested since 15 years before until now in order to draw ANY conclusions whatsoever 

 

whether the indicator is good in the long run or not. Because testing for such a long timeframe will show how the indicator has behaved in all market cycles in the past.

 

 

As a computer scientist, creating and testing indicator combinations by programming them has been a nice littlye experimentation the past 2 years. And I have personally programmed literally over 100 

indicator combinations and tested them out. And really, there are only 2 strategies that had consistently over 62% win rate over the past 5-10 years. Their frequencey was also quit high with an average signal rate

of 1 signal per 5 hours per asset. Their worst case draw down (when it performed the worst) yielded an average win rate of 54% which with a good payout means that you are neither winning or losing.

And this after hundreds of hours of experimentation. 

 

I am thinking of using it, though I am not sure yet, I am doing some statistical regression test atm. 

 

But if you are interested, contact me at [email protected] and I can let you know more.



#7 iJSmile`

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Posted 02 June 2017 - 04:25 PM

The answer to that question is both yes and no.

 

There is no indicator that will have a static winrate for the long term indefinately. Verily, each indicator parameters thrive on particular market evnrionments.

 

For instance, one set of parameters can thrive with a 70% win rate in trending markets but when the markets stagnates and consolidates to a ranging motion, the 

 

win rate dips to 55%. Conversley, once indicator parameters can have a 70% win rate in ranging markets, but when the market trends, it will dip to 55%.

 

So which params would you choose? Well, thats not that easy to answer! Because if you knew if the markets are trending/ranging to predict the optimum parameters

 

for the indicator you wouldnt need the indicator in the first place right?

 

 

 

So in summary, you need to focus on the average win % of an indicator for over literally thousands of trades backtested since 15 years before until now in order to draw ANY conclusions whatsoever 

 

whether the indicator is good in the long run or not. Because testing for such a long timeframe will show how the indicator has behaved in all market cycles in the past.

 

 

As a computer scientist, creating and testing indicator combinations by programming them has been a nice littlye experimentation the past 2 years. And I have personally programmed literally over 100 

indicator combinations and tested them out. And really, there are only 2 strategies that had consistently over 62% win rate over the past 5-10 years. Their frequencey was also quit high with an average signal rate

of 1 signal per 5 hours per asset. Their worst case draw down (when it performed the worst) yielded an average win rate of 54% which with a good payout means that you are neither winning or losing.

And this after hundreds of hours of experimentation. 

 

I am thinking of using it, though I am not sure yet, I am doing some statistical regression test atm. 

 

But if you are interested, contact me at [email protected] and I can let you know more.

The same stuff bro. I've developed indicator that gives me 60-62% on a long run. It means that in this month it can give you 53% and in another 68% which is not good for me personally. 
So 65% (solid and consistent 65%) it's a grail. I believe it's possible only with neural networks, and someone will create this indi in the nearest 5-10 years, but don't think someone will share it and even if this person share it - it will no longer be actual because market will be different. All changes. Currently you are able to achieve 65% with manual trading (of course with experience in patience). It's possible.







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